A lot will depend on how the matches are presented. If on the right – please don't call it center-right because it has nothing on the center – there is no doubt that Salvini, Meloni and Berlusconi will present themselves once again together, on the center-left everything remains to be seen. The progressive long front, defended by the PD and which included the M5E, was possibly mortally wounded after Conte's decision.
The general secretary of the PD, Enrico Letta, has expressed it clearly: what has happened implies "a total change of paradigm." And what will the Renzi, the Calenda, the Di Maio and all that south africa phone number list heterogeneous potpourri, more or less liberal, that includes those who have broken with Berlusconi, such as the ministers Gelmini and Brunetta, historical leaders of Forza Italia, do? Will they go together? Will someone vote for them? The decomposition-recomposition of the political forces has not stopped since 2018 and the abrupt conclusion of the legislature will accelerate it.
The first projections, based on the polls of the last few weeks, grant an absolute majority in almost all possible scenarios to the right-wing coalition. It would be, attention, an ultra government with the pseudoliberal crutch of Berlusconism. The only thing left to understand is who would take the fall for it: Meloni rubs his hands with a 22-23% voting intention, while Salvini hopes to present himself with Forza Italia to be first within the coalition. The unwritten rule is that the party with the most votes appoints the president of the Council of Ministers.